2 de junho de 2022

Como a terapia de choque neoliberal levou a Albânia à beira da guerra civil

Na Albânia, após a queda da União Soviética, as empresas prometiam grandes retornos às pessoas comuns que investissem nelas. Os investimentos acabaram sendo enormes esquemas de pirâmide, e seu colapso em 1997 desencadeou um conflito mortal que matou 1.500 pessoas.

Arlind Qori

Jacobin

Refugiados albaneses tentando fugir para a Grécia durante a crise que atingiu a Albânia em 1997. (Ivo Lorenc / Sygma / Corbis via Getty Images)

No final de fevereiro de 1997, alunos da minha escola secundária na capital albanesa, Tirana, boicotaram as aulas e se reuniram no pátio da escola. Começamos a gritar palavras de ordem em solidariedade aos universitários da cidade costeira de Vlorë, cerca de cinquenta dos quais haviam feito greve de fome na semana anterior exigindo a renúncia do governo. Muitos de nós consideramos este governo responsável pela falência dos esquemas de pirâmide que recentemente roubaram as economias de muitos albaneses, provocando raiva e desespero generalizados.

Logo alguém propôs que fôssemos às ruas e nos reuníssemos com alunos de outras escolas para formar um protesto maior. Após marchar 200 ou 300 metros, um grupo de policiais à paisana se aproximou de nós e começou a nos agredir fisicamente. Aterrorizados, nos dispersamos.

Avance uma semana. Perto do meu bairro, vi uma grande multidão marchando em direção ao centro da cidade. Alguém apontou para um civil, expondo-o como um policial à paisana. Um grupo de homens tentou pegá-lo e espancá-lo, mas o policial armado começou a atirar para o ar. Alguns minutos depois, confrontos entre manifestantes e a tropa de choque começaram em todos os cantos do meu bairro.

Na noite anterior, em Vlorë, manifestantes tomaram quartéis do exército e distribuíram armas entre a população. Isso desencadeou uma série de eventos que destruíram a capacidade do estado albanês de governar. Aproximadamente 1.500 pessoas morreram no caos nacional que se seguiu.

Como pôde chegar a isso? Apenas alguns anos antes, o Fundo Monetário Internacional (FMI) havia elogiado a Albânia como um modelo de reforma econômica pós-socialista. Em 1997, uma confluência de fatores criou uma tempestade perfeita, provocando uma rebelião popular contra a injustiça e a desigualdade. No entanto, com a classe trabalhadora desorganizada e o socialismo em grande parte desacreditado aos olhos do público, a revolta foi incapaz de formular uma visão alternativa – e logo se transformou em um caos violento.

Socialismo burocrático e terapia de choque

A transição da Albânia para o capitalismo começou mais tarde do que outros países da Europa Oriental. As primeiras manifestações antigovernamentais começaram no final de 1990 e se radicalizaram no ano seguinte, mas a transferência formal do poder do governista Partido do Trabalho para o anticomunista Partido Democrático (PD) não ocorreu até 1992 - meses após a União Soviética União deixar de existir.

Ser o último a derrubar o socialismo burocrático não impediu a nova elite da Albânia de estar entre os primeiros e mais entusiastas proponentes da reestruturação neoliberal radical. A terapia de choque econômico imposta pelo PD logo trouxe uma rápida desindustrialização, privatização a todo vapor, uma rápida queda na produtividade, desemprego em massa (com quase 200.000 demitidos apenas em 1992) e emigração. Uma mistura de entusiasmo e desespero se espalhou pela população em geral, dependendo de onde a pessoa acabasse na nova sociedade capitalista.

O processo de privatização foi altamente corrupto. Os bens públicos, a começar pelas pequenas e médias empresas, foram vendidos a particulares a preços artificialmente baixos. No entanto, essa transferência em massa de propriedade e infraestrutura falhou em criar uma burguesia adequada, capaz de administrar indústrias produtivas. A maioria dos novos ricos simplesmente vendeu as velhas firmas para peças sobressalentes enquanto se dedicava ao comércio e à especulação financeira.

Para o albanês médio, esses foram anos de desigualdade explosiva e pobreza crescente. Para sobreviver, muitos emigraram ou dependeram de remessas de parentes que trabalhavam no exterior (cerca de US$ 500 milhões por ano). Esse desespero ajudou a facilitar a ascensão de um regime quase autoritário liderado pelo líder do PD e presidente albanês Sali Berisha. Os partidos da oposição e os jornalistas críticos foram perseguidos. Fatos Nano, líder do Partido Socialista (PS) - o filho supostamente social-democrata do Partido Stalinista do Trabalho - foi preso em 1993 por acusações de corrupção, embora muitos considerassem isso um ato de vingança política.

O capitalismo de cassino da Albânia

The widespread disillusionment after the high expectations of 1991–92, when the capitalist future still looked bright, fueled a growing network of pyramid schemes. Speculators began lending money at high interest rates, charging 8-10 percent per month. Initially this was done without legal permission, but from 1995 these “rentier firms” achieved legal status, became ever-more powerful, and not surprisingly, started to bear political influence. At their peak in 1996, the money tied up in them amounted to 10 percent of Albania’s GDP.

These schemes’ emergence owed to the need to accelerate the primitive accumulation of capital following the transition from bureaucratic socialism. Albania’s capitalist system had emerged as the result of popular revolts in 1991, and thus the political elite and the emerging ruling class couldn’t afford to just evict people from their newly earned agricultural land and urban dwellings. Something else had to be devised in order to convince ordinary people to commodify more parts of their life and transfer them to the rentier firms as assets.

During the first years of capitalism, a lot of Albanians hoped that the new system would allow them to get rich quick, or at least substantially raise their living standards. Many first put their life savings in the pyramid schemes. Then as the speculative frenzy heated up, many sold their houses. Another source of money was the growing remittances from Albanians working abroad, especially in Greece and Italy. Occupying the lower rungs of the local working class, faced with discrimination and living and working illegally, they couldn’t save enough money to start a small business back home as most had dreamed and increasingly decided to “invest” their savings in the rentier firms, hoping for quick returns.

As ever more people “invested” in these enterprises, they became, paradoxically, not only a medium-term economic and political liability but also a temporary pillar of Albania’s economy. The most powerful among them, Vefa Holding, even sponsored a Formula 1 race in 1996. In this situation, no political actor dared to take a stand against the growing financial bubble.

The government hoped that this financial vortex would magically ease social discontent, at least temporarily — while also accepting the rentier firms’ financial support during the May 1996 elections. The opposition parties, led by the Socialist Party, didn’t dare to defy the popular enthusiasm for these firms. The Democratic Party ultimately won, helped not only by the artificially improved economic situation but also by rigging the vote process and beating up their opponents when they tried to organize protests.

But the speculative bubble couldn’t last forever. In fall 1996, rumors emerged that the rentier firms were in financial difficulty. That September, the IMF publicly asked the Albanian government to curtail and control them. For several years, the IMF had praised the country as a model for other postsocialist economies. But the looming disaster and worsening political relations between Sali Berisha and the United States following the rigged election pushed the IMF to sound the alarm.

Faced with these growing doubts, the rentier firms’ countermove was to raise interest rates. Some promised to return 200 percent of the money they borrowed within three months. The vortex continued for a couple more months, with some people taking back their money while others invested more, but in January 1997 the first firm, Sude, declared bankruptcy. This started a domino effect, and within just weeks, the others did the same. The Albanian government tried to freeze their assets in state banks and promised the lenders would get 30 to 40 percent of their money back while still claiming that most rentier firms had enough productive investment to withstand the crisis.

As Vinhas da Ira

The first protests erupted that same month. They began spontaneously, with hundreds of people gathering in front of the firms’ offices to demand their money back. The police tried to disperse the crowds, prompting violent clashes. Protests soon spread to almost every major city in Albania. After the Xhaferri firm went bankrupt, particularly violent demonstrations in Lushnjë saw protesters take the Democratic Party chairman Tritan Shehu hostage. He had gone to the city’s stadium to calm protesters and explain the government’s measures. In almost every case, the police sought to violently repress the protesters, further radicalizing them.

The opposition parties led by the socialist PS tried to give the popular discontent a political articulation. For years they had accused the government of being authoritarian and kleptocratic. The government responded by claiming the ex-communists wanted to turn back the wheel of history. The PS’s countermove was to form a large coalition of opposition parties ranging from the center-left to the Right called the Forum for Democracy, led by three former prisoners of conscience from the pre-1992 era. They organized several protests in Tirana, leading to occasional clashes with the police, but the most radical protests were independently organized in other cities, where the opposition had only meager influence.

The last and most radical phase of protests began in February, mostly in southern Albania, where more people had invested in the pyramid schemes and there was more political animosity toward the PD government. After the Gjallica firm filed for bankruptcy, protests erupted in Vlorë, the south’s largest city, where a protester was subsequently killed on February 5. Protesters expelled the police from the city center and kept them out for several days, demonstrating the weakness of the state’s repressive apparatus.

The spiral of violence appeared to be finding a strategic political outlet when the students of Vlorë’s Ismail Qemali University launched a hunger strike on February 20. Their demands were a mix of economic — for the rentier firms to return the money they appropriated — and political, urging the resignation of the government led by Aleksandër Meksi, a subordinate of President Berisha. The students’ hunger strike functioned as a daily rallying point for tens of thousands of protesters in Vlorë. Meanwhile, opposition parties compared it to a hunger strike students organized in Tirana in February 1991, which played a major role in the fall of the previous regime. They emphasized the potential for a new democratic revolution in the spirit of 1990-91.

Abrindo o quartel

The situation in the city radically escalated the night of February 28. Rumors spread that agents of the Shërbimi Informativ Kombëtar (SHIK), an institution somewhere between a secret service and a paramilitary gang, had kidnapped one of the hunger strike supporters and planned to violently evict them from the university grounds.

This led to a violent response by a group of protesters, some of whom were armed. Nobody knows where they got their weapons from. They went to SHIK headquarters in Vlorë and, after exchanging fire with officers stationed there, killed two of them. Later testimonies suggest that the rumors about SHIK violently crushing the hunger strike weren’t true, but protesters were so indignant that the rumors were easily believed.

The next day, with events in Vlorë still shrouded in the fog of civil war, the opposition parties organized a large protest in Tirana that ended in another round of intense clashes. Most importantly, from March 1 onward — first in Vlorë, then in other southern cities — organized groups of people went to army barracks, overwhelmed the discouraged and disoriented soldiers, seized the armories, and distributed weapons among the population.

Angered by what many people viewed as state-led organized theft in the form of the pyramid schemes, fearing the government’s violent response and the snowball effect of civilians (including a number of criminals) appropriating arms, increasing numbers of people went to army barracks and practically broke down the state apparatus in Southern Albania during the first weeks of March. The government responded by declaring martial law and sending what was left of the army to crush the revolt. But faced with armed popular resistance and, most importantly, the very low morale among soldiers and officers (most of whom had lost their own savings), the army soon folded.

This victory encouraged the armed protesters, who began to think in terms of dual power. In Vlorë and other Southern cities, “Committees of Public Safety” were formed, evoking the French Revolution. They were composed of common citizens: local intellectuals, ex–army officers, students, and migrant workers who had returned home to demand their money back. Despite the revolutionary rhetoric, the committees’ demands were fairly modest: all they wanted was their money and the resignation of Sali Berisha.

Some hinted at an armed march on Tirana to overthrow Berisha, but no such thing ever materialized. The local committees in various towns tried to link up, and different meetings were held to coordinate political actions. During early March they tried to become a third pole between Sali Berisha and the PS, sounding more radical than the latter. But in the end, due to the committees’ lack of political experience and penetration by local PS representatives, they gradually fell under that party’s hegemony.
Chaos Not Revolution

The biggest shortcoming of the Committees of Public Safety was the lack of organized labor in their ranks. The Albanian working class — or rather, the parts of it that hadn’t already emigrated — had been disempowered, pulverized, and scattered into a plethora of small enterprises in the years of neoliberal reforms. The official trade unions were very weak and thoroughly controlled by the main parties. Consequently, workers didn’t participate in these events as a class, nor did their class consciousness go beyond several Luddite acts of revenge against machines and factories during the first days of March.
Lacking a working-class movement, the uprising proved unable to overcome its ideological limitations. The people participating in the revolt, though armed and emboldened by the breakdown of the state, didn’t imagine a radically new society — they just wanted fresh elections and their money back. Beyond that, many had a vague conception of social justice as prioritizing the interests of the poor and common people but little more.

Seeking to control the quasi-revolutionary fervor, the political parties in Tirana agreed to share power. On March 9, Sali Berisha and opposition representatives formed a common government of national reconciliation led by PS representative Bashkim Fino and agreed to hold new elections in June. Berisha wanted to salvage what he could of the state’s authority, while the PS needed a legal political transition, fearing that the armed uprising could otherwise escape their control.

Yet the parties didn’t seem to trust each other fully. Thus after the agreement was signed, army barracks were opened in Tirana and cities across Northern Albania. Some eyewitnesses claim that the barracks were deliberately opened by Sali Berisha’s supporters, supposedly to counterbalance the armed population of Southern Albania. Some feared that the political conflict could escalate into civil war, with the Socialists dominating in the south, while the Democrats were more popular in the north. But nothing of the sort happened. The common people were armed everywhere, but there was no regional animosity or even a hint of organizing people against each other. The main parties, it appeared, had decided to consolidate their armed power bases and wait for the general elections of June 29.

In this paradoxical situation — in which the new government in Tirana didn’t control more than the main boulevard of the capital city, the two main parties were biding their time until the elections, and the Committees of Public Safety were subordinated to the PS — there was no alternative other than anarchy, which led to the emergence of criminal gangs as local power brokers. In the three months of chaos that followed, many people were killed in fights between these gangs, some of which were connected to political parties in Tirana, or as innocent bystanders when large groups fired their guns into the air.

The latter became fairly popular across Albania, when common people, lacking a political target, expressed their frustration and a kind of childish enthusiasm by shooting into the air — enabled, ironically, by the experience they accrued during socialism, when citizens were obliged to take part in annual military exercises. I can still remember some of my neighbors shooting into the air in our building’s courtyard every evening.

A cavalaria italiana chega

The uprising, the breakdown of state authority, and the fear that the conflict might spread into neighboring countries while also creating huge waves of migrants, triggered the intervention of European states and the United States. Former Austrian premier Franz Vranitzky was appointed by the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) as a mediator between the conflicting parties.

One of the first acts of the new government in Tirana was to sign an agreement with Italy, allowing it to patrol Albania’s territorial waters and prevent illegal emigration. On March 28, a boat filled with 120 migrants was intercepted and hit by an Italian frigate. Eighty-one people drowned, including small children. The tragic news deepened the social desperation in Albania right at the time when the political dimensions of the uprising were fading.

In an ironic twist, the center-right Italian opposition led by Silvio Berlusconi accused Romano Prodi’s center-left government of inhumane treatment of refugees. As a public display of remorse, Prodi visited Albania on April 13. He was welcomed by a huge crowd in Vlorë, where one of the most notorious local gangsters served as his bodyguard. This tragedy within a much larger tragedy, in a context where Albanians generally viewed the Italian government as benevolent, seemed to convince most people that what happened was just a tragic accident, or at least a crime without a political component.

On the same day, the United Nations passed Resolution 1101, which created a multinational peacekeeping and humanitarian force of seven thousand soldiers, mostly Italians. Yet this Operation Alba did not engage in any “peacekeeping” in Albania. Its duty was quite modest: to deliver humanitarian aid to the population in need, take control of Albanian ports to prevent migration, and protect international observers during the June 29 elections. They kept their distance from armed confrontations and looked on passively during skirmishes between criminal gangs.

The elections were held in a climate of fear, with armed vigilantes positioned near polling stations. Regular Albanian police and Operation Alba soldiers were present but didn’t have much of an impact, at least outside Tirana. Nevertheless, it seemed that the political parties had implicitly agreed to a transfer of power, and the Socialist Party won the vote overwhelmingly.

In the years that followed, the two parties hurled mutual accusations at each other over the events of 1997 — the PD branded them as a communist rebellion, while the PS stressed their antiauthoritarian aspects. Over time, however, an ideological cross-party consensus emerged that 1997 had simply been a cursed year for the people of Albania. The images of armed chaos overwhelmed the uprising’s emancipatory potential, while the causes of the uprising were discussed in terms of the violent legacy of communism, the country’s lack of democratic institutions, and even the collective madness of people with nothing left to lose.

A astúcia da história

After leading the liberation of Albania from fascist and Nazi occupation in World War II, the Communist Party of Albania (renamed the Party of Labor) ruled the country for forty-seven years, turning it into Europe’s last hard-line Stalinist dictatorship. After changing its name to the Socialist Party in1992, it portrayed itself as a social democratic party that aimed to establish a mixed economy and democratize the state. For a couple of years, the party was quite close to the Austrian Social Democrats and adopted a critical stance toward NATO membership, while openly talking about democratic socialism. Deputy leader Servet Pëllumbi, who basically led the party after the imprisonment of Fatos Nano, used to shock visitors by keeping a small statue of Karl Marx in his office.

Nonetheless, having lost the bulk of the working class during the 1991–92 transition — a class that soon faded away as a political actor in itself — the PS’s social democratic stance functioned more as an ideological cover. Effectively, it was the party of the professional middle classes of bureaucratic socialism, which lost their status during the neoliberal restructuring led by the Democratic Party.
Consequently, the party shifted its alignment. Fatos Nano changed its motto from “democratic socialism” to “market economy plus social solidarity” in 1995. The party accepted NATO integration and became increasingly influenced by the Blairite Third Way. After taking power in 1997, the Socialists became the perfect political agent to deepen neoliberal reforms in Albania. They worked closely with the IMF and the World Bank to privatize big state enterprises and initiated the privatization of the strategic sectors of the economy — from the extractive sector to banks, telecommunications, and more.

A economia da Albânia tornou-se um apêndice do capital italiano e grego, e a única manufatura que continuou a existir consistia em fábricas têxteis subcontratadas. A organização da classe trabalhadora deteriorou-se ainda mais rapidamente. Por exemplo, em 1994, cerca de 93% da classe trabalhadora em declínio ainda estava organizada em sindicatos. Em 1996, esse número caiu para 40% e para 12% no final de 1997. Atualmente, apenas um número insignificante é oficialmente sindicalizado.

Em 1991, os trabalhadores albaneses se levantaram contra a burocracia socialista tirânica e sem noção enquanto sonhavam com uma nova sociedade de prosperidade, liberdade e igualdade - animados por uma vaga ideia de socialismo com rosto humano, ou talvez um capitalismo jeffersoniano. Eles venceram politicamente, mas perderam como classe quando as reformas neoliberais os pulverizaram como força social. Em 1997, os remanescentes da classe trabalhadora, juntamente com as multidões de pobres e empobrecidos pelos esquemas de pirâmide, lutaram com armas, sonhando com uma sociedade mais social e democrática. A vitória de Pirro deu poder a um partido que os traiu a cada passo do caminho.

Ainda hoje, o Partido Socialista constitui a espinha dorsal do neoliberalismo e do capitalismo oligárquico na Albânia. Isso leva a uma concepção dos desenvolvimentos sociopolíticos em termos de consequências não intencionais, ou a "astúcia da história", que pode ter um efeito debilitante ao promover a ideologia de "não há alternativa". No entanto, como mostram os protestos e greves dos últimos anos - desde as grandes manifestações estudantis de dezembro de 2018 até a fundação de novos sindicatos independentes nos setores de mineração, têxtil e call center, e os recentes protestos maciços contra aumentos de preços - há esperança por um futuro justo e democrático na sociedade albanesa.

COLABORADOR

Arlind Qori é ativista da Organizata Politike e professora de teoria política na Universidade de Tirana.

Nenhum comentário:

Postar um comentário

Guia essencial para a Jacobin

A Jacobin tem divulgado conteúdo socialista em ritmo acelerado desde 2010. Eis aqui um guia prático para algumas das obras mais importantes ...